Matt W. Kentucky Oaks Picks

By Matthew W.

Posted: May 01, 12:30 PM

Churchill Downs

May 03 2019

8:30 AM

Kentucky Oaks

#10 - Champagne Anyone (6-1) - Put everything together last out in Florida Oaks with decisive score. Added blinkers that day and the light came on as she strolled home to an easy win. Bred beautifully for the distance and will get first run on collapsing speed. Just can't see this filly losing today!

 

#14 - Restless Rider (6-1) - Draws a terrible post but has enough early speed to get out and over into first turn. Will then need to relax behind first flight of speed runners. If able to relax, has enough back class making second start off layoff to get the win here. 

 

#3 - Lady Apples (20-1) - Put it all together in last two for Asmussen. This filly continues to improve and has the right style for this race. Daughter of Curlin is very capable and a huge price.

 

#6 - Positive Spirit (30-1) - This one will certainly get lost in the wagering off slow preps. But has ran twice at this distance and can close into what will be a blistering pace. Must use underneath in all gimmicks.

 

$50 wagering strategy

$20 win #10

$6 exacta 10/14

$4 exacta's 14/10, 10/3, 10/6

$1 trifecta key - 10,14 with 3,6,10,14 with 3,6,10,14