Dana P. Derby Friday Picks

By Dana Powell

Posted: August 10, 7:17 PM

Churchill Downs

May 03 2019

4:28 PM

Kentucky Oaks:

My pick is Bellafina.  Again, can lead or stalk and loves to win races.  Also, out of Quality Road, so will only move up further in slop.  For second, I like Restless Rider.  This is my friend Frankie’s (another Hollywood races member and most excellent handicapper) best bet of the weekend....but his tendency for “seconditis”...... makes me nervous to use on top.  For 3rd, we’ll use 15:1 longshot Out for a Spin.  Dallas Stewart tends to do well with longshot on Derby Day and gets the services of the world’s best rider in Irad Ortiz 

 

With respect to other races Friday....

Best Bet:  Newspaperofrecord (3/5) in the Edgewood towers over the field.  Wins by daylight if breaks reasonably well

Best Price Stab:   Awe Emma (20:1) in LaTroienne:  ultra impressive in last 3.  Speed figures underestimated as under wraps.  May wire field.. Filly is out of War Front (Omaha Beach), and may start big weekend for that stallion.