Breeders' Cup Picks

By Dana Powell

Posted: August 10, 7:17 PM

November 02 2019

2:10 PM

I will use a mythical $100 format as how I will bet these races.



Filly and Mare Sprint: This race commonly results in Big Balloons, as does the 7F distance.  Covfefe is deserving favorite, but draws the rail.  I believe he either wins by 5 or tanks.  History tells me the latter.  My friend (Fellow Hollywood Handicapper Extrordinair) Frankie loves Come Dancing.  I love the outside drawn local Spiced Perfection.

Bets: $25 win on both Come Dancing and Spiced Perfection. $4 exacta box using those two and Santa Anita Specialist Bellafina. 50 cent trifecta box with those 3.  Lastly, $10 savor exactas.  Covfefe over my top two.



Breeders' Cup Turf: Bricks and Mortar is amazing and will be the favorite. However, this race is 12 furlongs which is 2 furlongs farther than he has ever ran. I like... LOVE... Old Persian... A Godolphin horse trained by Charles Applebee and ridden by William Buick (one of, if not thee best turf jock in the world). His last 8 races have been at 12F or longer. His last race was at WO where he won by 2.5 easy lengths (huge in turf race), he is used to carrying more weight and 3rd race after the layoff. Beyer of 100 for that race is a little less than Bricks and Mortars par. Beyers are meaningless in long turf routes. This is my best bet of the day.

Bet: $100 win on Old Persian



Breeders' Cup Classic: Here, you want an improving horse with versatile style and consistency. Ideally you want a horse who has done well over the surface and a jock with experience here (many handicappers believe the new, more tiring surface, favors a horse who has run over it). I love the 4 outside horses, especially two of them, Vino Rosso and Mongolian Groom. Vino Rosso, who, like his daddy Curlin, is getting better and better with age. Vino Rosso ran a new style last race, up front at the same 10 furlongs distance, in fast fractions, and still held off an excellent Code of Honor (though the result was reversed in a poor stewards DQ). Mongolian Groom will be a price. He is getting better and better and will be 5 times the value of horse he beat, McKinzie, (who is never out of the exacta at SA). Mongolian Groom’s jockey, Abel Cedillo may be best SA jockey these days.


-$3 exacta box 8-9-10-11

-$1 trifecta box 8-9-10-11

-$6 exacta box, Vino Rosso And Mongolian Groom

-$20 win on both Vino Rosso and Mongolian Groom.



Price Shots to Consider from Other Races:

Turf Sprint: Belvoir Boy - Loves Santa Anita and 5F, trained by Peter Miller

Dirt Mike: Diamond Oops - best of the older horses, 2nd off lay-off after nice turf effect

Filly And Mare Turf: Billesdon Brook - Just won a group 1, runs well on left handed tracks

Sprint: Firenze Fire - May stalk what is sure to be fast pace, last was encouraging, Frankie loves Shancelot though, 3 year olds have done well.

Grass Mile: Space Traveler is an improving European 3 year old, won group 2 on left handed track in last

Distaff: Blue Prize - despite beating several of these in last, she will still be overlaid price again.